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Belmont Park Picks Sun, Oct 11

Free picks for all 9 races at Belmont Park on Sunday, October 11, 2026, generated by the TracksideProfits handicapping software.

Today’s Picks › Belmont Park Picks › Sun, Oct 11

Races
9
Surfaces
5 Turf · 4 Dirt
First post
1:10local time
Top purse · Race 4
OC 55k/N1X
Best Bet · Race 2
4Asset Light
60% win est.
Value play · Race 1
5Majestic Moonlight
20% win est.

Race-by-race picks

Race1 Md Sp Wt 100k1 1/16 miles · Turf · Post 1:10 · 6 starters Low
  1. 1 On Time DeliveryMarin S · Motion H Graham 26%win est.
  2. 6 Miss TwitterFranco M · Brown Chad C 22%win est.
  3. 5 Majestic MoonlightZayas E J · Abreu Jorge R 20%win est.

Why On Time Delivery: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Pedigree suits the distance. Returns from a layoff.

Value play5 Majestic Moonlight 20% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Miss Twitter may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.

Race2 Md Sp Wt 100k6 ½ furlongs · Dirt · Post 1:43 · 5 starters Best BetMedium
  1. 4 Asset LightSantana R Jr · Brown Chad C 60%win est.
  2. 5 Turn N BurnFranco M · Brown Chad C 11%win est.
  3. 3 Ethereal QualityFresu A · Drysdale Neil 10%win est.

Why Asset Light: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Looks like the lone early speed and can control the pace.

Value play3 Ethereal Quality 10% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Returns from a layoff.

Pace: Asset Light looks like the lone speed and could control this on an easy lead. That is a dangerous setup on dirt. With 3 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.

Race3 Md Sp Wt 100k6 furlongs · Dirt · Post 2:16 · 6 starters Medium
  1. 2 KarstenZayas E J · Abreu Jorge R 34%win est.
  2. 4 Tap RulesFranco M · Clement Miguel 19%win est.
  3. 1 GalicatCarmouche K · Englehart Jeremiah C 18%win est.

Why Karsten: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Value play1 Galicat 18% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Pedigree suits the distance.

Pace: Valentine Crusader shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

Race4 OC 55k/N1X1 3/8 miles · Turf · Post 2:49 · 7 starters High
  1. 7 KiambaMarin S · Clement Miguel 47%win est.
  2. 5 Dividend RecapFranco M · Clement Miguel 16%win est.
  3. 4 Lisa JoyFresu A · McGaughey III Claude R 12%win est.

Why Kiamba: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Value play4 Lisa Joy 12% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: There is little proven early speed here, so a tactical horse who can sit close could steal it. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.

Result: Lisa Joy won, Dividend Recap 2nd, Baby Sassicaia 3rd. Our pick Kiamba: unplaced. Value play Lisa Joy: won.

Race5 Md Sp Wt 100k6 furlongs · Inner Turf · Post 3:23 · 12 starters Low
  1. 2 RockabyeFresu A · Clement Miguel 17%win est.
  2. 8 BreakerCarmouche K · Pletcher Todd A 16%win est.
  3. 11 AmariusSantana R Jr · Brown Chad C 9%win est.

Why Rockabye: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Pedigree suits the distance.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Aerial Affair may be the one sent to the front. With 8 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.

Race6 Clm 20000N2L7 furlongs · Dirt · Post 3:57 · 8 starters Medium
  1. 7 BakutoMarin S · De Paz Horacio 44%win est.
  2. 2 Escape HallLezcano J · Rice Linda 16%win est.
  3. 6 Mike's MagicGonzalez S · Kantarmaci Mertkan 12%win est.

Why Bakuto: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward.

Value play6 Mike's Magic 12% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Quickest early horse in a dirt sprint.

Pace: Mike's Magic shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

Race7 Alw 50000s6 furlongs · Dirt · Post 4:31 · 8 starters Medium
  1. 2 Credit RiskSantana R Jr · Bartkowski Lisa 41%win est.
  2. 3 IshkabibbleDavis D · Ibrahim Emron 16%win est.
  3. 7 Spun SizeRivera D A · Baker Charlton 12%win est.

Why Credit Risk: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races. Returns from a layoff.

Value play3 Ishkabibble 16% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Clap Back and Twirling Lulu figure to go after the lead together. A stalker like Spun Size could be the one to benefit.

Race8 Clm 40000N2L6 ½ furlongs · Inner Turf · Post 5:05 · 9 starters Low
  1. 5 MozambiqueFresu A · Rodriguez Rudy R 20%win est.
  2. 9 Printer's AlleyElliott C · Kantarmaci Ilkay 20%win est.
  3. 6 KuhnerCarmouche K · Bailes W Robert 20%win est.

Why Mozambique: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward.

Value play2 Sicilian Defense 19% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Barn does well with claimers.

Pace: Sicilian Defense shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

Race9 Md 300007 ½ furlongs · Turf · Post 5:38 · 11 starters Low
  1. 2 PerrettiSantana R Jr · Antonacci Philip 27%win est.
  2. 6 Turbo LaunchFranco M · Sharp Joe 19%win est.
  3. 3 Notion in MotionDavis D · Duggan David P 12%win est.

Why Perretti: Barn does well with turf runners.

Value play6 Turbo Launch 19% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Perretti shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

Results recap

Top picks went 0 for 1, with 0 finishing in the top three, in the races graded so far.

Result: Lisa Joy won, Dividend Recap 2nd, Baby Sassicaia 3rd. Our pick Kiamba: unplaced. Value play Lisa Joy: won.

More picks for Sunday, October 11

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Picks are made before scratches and late changes. If a selection scratches, move to the next pick. Post times are local track time. Win estimates are the software's, not guarantees. Results recaps fill in as official finishes appear in our data.

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Updated Oct 14, 2026