Keeneland Picks Sun, Oct 11

1. 1 Pike PlaceArrieta F · Van Berg Thomas L 32%win est.
2. 3 Indy Charges OnOrtiz J L · Gaudet Lacey 21%win est.
3. 2 BebedouroHazlewood Y · Williams Colby 15%win est.

Why Pike Place: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward. Returns from a layoff.

Value play2 Bebedouro 15% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Indy Charges On and Bebedouro figure to go after the lead together. A stalker like Trusty Rusty could be the one to benefit.

1. 8 Flume's VinoBeschizza A · Ennis John 38%win est.
2. 12 Road TrippinHernandez B J Jr · Calhoun William Bret 14%win est.
3. 6 StraitshootinlarryOrtiz I Jr · Ward Wesley A 12%win est.

Why Flume's Vino: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward.

Value play12 Road Trippin 14% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Barn does well with route runners.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Straitshootinlarry may be the one sent to the front.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Working for Glory, Wicked Gun

1. 5 Wits and WagersBejarano R · Hartman Chris A 27%win est.
2. 2 Hidden RecipeHazlewood Y · Danner Doug 22%win est.
3. 6 Sassy PrincessGaffalione T · Jacobson David 20%win est.

Why Wits and Wagers: Figures moving forward. Fired a bullet workout recently.

Value play8 Cora's Legacy 16% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Barn does well with dirt runners.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Nilo's Rose may be the one sent to the front.

1. 6 BamtwentyklaterPauly S · Moger Ed Jr 35%win est.
2. 7 Tesouro de PirataOrtiz I Jr · Gutierrez Fausto 20%win est.
3. 5 Lunar BuzzCorrales G · Briley Lonnie 11%win est.

Why Bamtwentyklater: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Lunar Buzz shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

1. 3 Golden ChannelPrat F · Weaver George 15%win est.
2. 8 City of OscarsOrtiz J L · Casse Mark 15%win est.
3. 5 Sinister SmileOrtiz I Jr · Sharp Joe 13%win est.

Why Golden Channel: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Takes a drop in class.

Value play8 City of Oscars 15% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Takes a drop in class.

Pace: Just Buy It shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Unitas, Tripp's Promise, Shure, Ramblin

1. 1 KashvilleTorres J A · Calhoun William Bret 15%win est.
2. 5 Champagne CoastConcepcion A · Mott Riley 14%win est.
3. 8 IntermediationAsmussen K J · Asmussen Steven M 11%win est.

Why Kashville: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Pedigree suits the distance.

Value play5 Champagne Coast 14% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Pedigree suits the distance.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Intermediation may be the one sent to the front. With 7 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.

1. 5 InefficiencyPrat F · Brown Chad C 25%win est.
2. 2 LandedVelazquez J R · Ward Wesley A 22%win est.
3. 3 ModoSaez L · LaRose Kinnon 15%win est.

Why Inefficiency: Figures moving forward. Pedigree suits the distance.

Value play2 Landed 22% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Pedigree suits the distance. Returns from a layoff.

Pace: Plenty of early speed with Modo, Landed and Overcome Adversity, so the pace should be contested. That sets up for a closer such as Tapit Quick.

1. 10 NewtonPrat F · Baffert Bob 31%win est.
2. 7 Tilt a TwirlCarrasco V R · Arnold George R II 14%win est.
3. 1 EleosTorres J A · Munoz Carlos 10%win est.

Why Newton: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward. Returns from a layoff.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Eleos may be the one sent to the front. With 5 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.