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Keeneland Picks Wed, Oct 21

A top pick and value play for all 8 races at Keeneland on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, plus the Best Bet of the card, from the TracksideProfits handicapping software.

Today’s Picks › Keeneland Picks › Wed, Oct 21

Races
8
Surfaces
6 Dirt · 2 Turf
First post
1:00local time
Top purse · Race 6
Alw 150000N4X
Best Bet · Race 5
2Jackpot Rocket
Nobody else in the field has run as fast as him lately
Value play · Race 1
3Pop and Locke
Overlooked at long odds last time out
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Race-by-race picks

Race1 Md 750006 furlongs · Dirt · Post 1:00 · 9 starters
  1. 2Top pickMagical MikelOrtiz I Jr · McPeek Kenneth G

Why Magical Mikel: Tops this field on recent speed. Drops from maiden special weight into a maiden claimer. Trainer Kenneth McPeek has a strong record with two-year-olds.

Value play3 Pop and Locke
The public let him go at 9-1 last out, and the ratings say that was a mistake. Gets a softer spot after running against maiden special weight company. The Brendan Walsh barn does well with two-year-olds.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race2 Clm 20000B1 1/16 miles · Dirt · Post 1:32 · 9 starters
  1. 6Top pickEast VillageEsquivel E · McPeek Kenneth G

Why East Village: Three straight races of improvement. Won last time out in a claimer. Proven at this kind of distance.

Value play2 Jinxzi
Dismissed at 24-1 in his last start, but fits this field. Has improved in each of the last three starts. Ian Wilkes gets good results with claimers.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race3 Md 1500006 ½ furlongs · Dirt · Post 2:04 · 11 starters
  1. 5Top pickFair PracticeGaffalione T · Brown Chad C

Why Fair Practice: Holds a big edge on recent speed over this group. Last start was a clear jump forward for her. Can use her gate speed to get first run in this sprint.

Value play3 La Noche Negra
The public let her go at 12-1 last out, and the ratings say that was a mistake. Takes the class drop into maiden claiming company. Right there on speed with the top runners.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race4 Alw 20000s7 furlongs · Dirt · Post 2:36 · 9 starters
  1. 1Top pickTiz Mary's CometOrtiz J L · Sharp Joe

Why Tiz Mary's Comet: On the upswing, getting better every time out. Won last time out in a starter allowance. Joe Sharp gets good results with last-out winners.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race5 Md Sp Wt 110k1 1/16 miles · Dirt · Post 3:08 · 11 starters Best Bet
  1. 2Top pickJackpot RocketAlvarado J · Mott William I

Why Jackpot Rocket: Nobody else in the field has run as fast as him lately. Coming off the best race of the current form cycle. Ran 3rd last out, beaten 7 lengths.

Value play7 Justification
Went off at 9-1 last time but rates as a real contender here. Finished 3rd in his last start, 15 lengths behind the winner. Bullet work on Sep 26, best of 56 at the distance.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race6 Alw 150000N4X5 ½ furlongs · Turf · Post 3:40 · 9 starters
  1. 7Top pickSaturday FlirtVelazquez J R · Ward Wesley A

Why Saturday Flirt: Finished 3rd in her last start, 5 lengths behind the winner. Steps down in class off a optional claimer. Likes Keeneland, with 2 wins here.

Value play2 Do Gooder
Dismissed at 15-1 in her last start, but fits this field. Trending the right way, with each of her last three better than the one before. Ran 2nd last out, beaten 2½ lengths.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race7 Alw 120000N1X1 1/16 miles · Dirt · Post 4:12 · 11 starters
  1. 4Top pickPagodeSaez L · Sharp Joe

Why Pagode: Brings the best recent figures into the race. Finished 2nd in his last start, 1½ lengths behind the winner. Has hit the board in 5 of his last 6 starts.

Value play5 Wonder Mist
Dismissed at 13-1 in his last start, but fits this field. Finished 2nd in his last start, a head behind the winner. Finished in the top three in 6 of 6 recent races.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race8 Md Sp Wt 110k1 1/16 miles · Turf · Post 4:44 · 12 starters
  1. 10Top pickFollow Your HeartConcepcion A · Arnold George R II

Why Follow Your Heart: Owns the best recent speed figures in the field. Finished 2nd in her last start, 4½ lengths behind the winner. Pedigree via Flightline fits today's longer trip.

Value play12 Novo Mesto
Went off at 19-1 last time but rates as a real contender here. Was only a neck from winning last time. Right there on speed with the top runners.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Upstart Empress, Doozie Do, Cyber Gal, Middlemist

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Last time at Keeneland

On Sunday, October 11, 2026, our top picks went 0 for 1 in the races graded so far. See that card.

  • Race 5: Free Advice won. Our pick Golden Channel was unplaced.

More picks for Wednesday, October 21

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Full-card Blueprint · Keeneland · Saturday, Oct 31

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Picks are made before scratches and late changes. If a selection scratches, move to the next pick. Post times are local track time. Win estimates are the software's, not guarantees. Results recaps fill in as official finishes appear in our data.

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Updated Oct 18, 2026