Today’s Picks › Keeneland Picks › Sun, Oct 18
- Races
- 9
- Surfaces
- 6 Dirt · 3 Turf
- First post
- 1:00local time
- Feature · Race 7
- Rood & Riddle Dowager G3
- Best Bet · Race 1
- 7Carol's Melody 33% win est.
- Value play · Race 7
- 5Fionn 19% win est.
Race-by-race picks
- 7 Carol's MelodyOrtiz J L · Kenneally Eddie 33%win est.
- 1 Turkish PistachioMendoza A · Garcia Genaro 20%win est.
- 3 Alta AvenueGaffalione T · Jacobson David 13%win est.
Why Carol's Melody: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Barn does well with claimers.
Value play1 Turkish Pistachio 20% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures have risen three straight races.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so No What Ifs may be the one sent to the front.
- 7 Parking Lot PoursTorres C A · Silva Miguel Angel 20%win est.
- 9 Spun UpEsquivel E · Contreras Cipriano 17%win est.
- 2 Flirtin AgainArrieta F · Shorter Aaron 15%win est.
Why Parking Lot Pours: Figures moving forward. Proven on the surface.
Value play9 Spun Up 17% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Barn does well with turf-to-dirt switches.
Pace: Spun Up shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.
- 4 Excel CalculatorOrtiz I Jr · Sharp Joe 20%win est.
- 1 Bestfriend RocketMachado L · Sims Matthew P 17%win est.
- 9 SugoiArrieta F · Bahena Ismael 17%win est.
Why Excel Calculator: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Barn does well with claimers.
Value play9 Sugoi 17% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Takes a drop in class.
Pace: Brigadier General shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.
- 3 LookismAntongrgi III W · Caramori Caio 26%win est.
- 5 No Mo SunBejarano R · O'Neill Doug 17%win est.
- 1 LindenborgRodriguez W A · Caramori Eduardo 13%win est.
Why Lookism: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward.
Value play1 Lindenborg 13% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Pedigree suits the distance.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Smart N Centsible may be the one sent to the front. With 4 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.
- 10 Covert LawAlvarado J · David Carlos A 20%win est.
- 6 Green LightMachado L · Ennis John 12%win est.
- 9 MeseroOrtiz I Jr · Romans Dale 11%win est.
Why Covert Law: Figures moving forward. Figures have risen three straight races.
Value play6 Green Light 12% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures have risen three straight races. Fired a bullet workout recently.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Johny's Rendezvous may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.
- 10 Appeals to MeOrtiz I Jr · Cox Brad H 24%win est.
- 8 Blazing SunsetOrtiz J L · Sharp Joe 14%win est.
- 2 Georgy GirlVelazquez J R · Casse Mark 8%win est.
Why Appeals to Me: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Quickest early horse in a dirt sprint.
Value play8 Blazing Sunset 14% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Pedigree suits the distance.
Pace: There is little proven early speed here, so a tactical horse who can sit close could steal it. With 8 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.
- 4 Pretty TapitOrtiz J L · Sharp Joe 24%win est.
- 5 FionnOrtiz I Jr · Cox Brad H 19%win est.
- 12 ModarosaAlvarado J · Mott Riley 14%win est.
Why Pretty Tapit: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward.
Value play5 Fionn 19% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Top-percentage trainer and jockey.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Pretty Tapit may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.
- 9 Mandy's Man CanRodriguez W A · Lobo Paulo H 20%win est.
- 4 Big Boy ThunderDe La Cruz F · Greenhill Jeff 16%win est.
- 7 AntraxMorales E · Sweezey J Kent 16%win est.
Why Mandy's Man Can: Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures moving forward. Returns from a layoff.
Pace: Plenty of early speed with Intuitive Wisdom, Mandy's Man Can and Grande Sorpreso, so the pace should be contested. That sets up for a closer such as Antrax.
- 9 Time in MotionConcepcion A · Walden William 28%win est.
- 5 Epic RollCurtis B · LaRose Kinnon 16%win est.
- 7 RivelliLoveberry J · Rivelli Larry 13%win est.
Why Time in Motion: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Pedigree suits the distance.
Value play5 Epic Roll 16% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures moving forward.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Bold Speaker may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position. With 4 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Arrival Time, Platinum Power, Yalta, Silver Jewel
More picks for Sunday, October 18
Keeneland picks archive
The Wagering Lab.
Two curated race breakdowns every Friday before the weekend's biggest races, plus our free betting tracker and handicapping scoring tool.
No credit card. Unsubscribe anytime.Trackside Edge.
Want a person behind the picks? Members get four hand-curated plays every Friday, all 12 full-card Blueprints and the private member community.
$29.99 per month.Picks are made before scratches and late changes. If a selection scratches, move to the next pick. Post times are local track time. Win estimates are the software's, not guarantees. Results recaps fill in as official finishes appear in our data.
Must be 21+ to wager.
Updated Oct 14, 2026
