Today’s Picks › Keeneland Picks › Fri, Oct 16
- Races
- 10
- Surfaces
- 7 Dirt · 3 Turf
- First post
- 1:00local time
- Top purse · Race 8
- Alw 120000N1X
- Best Bet · Race 3
- 4Nessy 66% win est.
- Value play · Race 4
- 8Mizzou 15% win est.
Race-by-race picks
- 8 Getting After ItArrieta F · Puhich Michael 18%win est.
- 7 BeauxbatonsEsquivel E · Garcia Genaro 18%win est.
- 10 Muffin MusicJimenez A · Ward Wesley A 17%win est.
Why Getting After It: Figures moving forward. Figures have risen three straight races.
Pace: Plenty of early speed with Sang, Nightmare Fuel and Beauxbatons, so the pace should be contested. That sets up for a closer such as Muffin Music.
- 5 Flaming RainbowOrtiz J L · McPeek Kenneth G 35%win est.
- 3 ThrottleOrtiz I Jr · Cox Brad H 33%win est.
- 4 Summit RidgeMorales E · Sweezey J Kent 10%win est.
Why Flaming Rainbow: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Pedigree suits the distance. Returns from a layoff.
Value play4 Summit Ridge 10% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Drops from maiden special weight to maiden claiming.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Throttle may be the one sent to the front.
- 4 NessyCorrales G · Rivera Nestor R 66%win est.
- 1 Speech and DramaOrtiz J L · Tomlinson Michael A 9%win est.
- 2 RebelkaLara V · Chapman James K 6%win est.
Why Nessy: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.
Pace: Chiqueada and Nessy figure to go after the lead together. A stalker like Speech and Drama could be the one to benefit.
- 5 DontworryboutnothnGaffalione T · Jacobson David 54%win est.
- 8 MizzouHernandez B J Jr · Salas Marcelino 15%win est.
- 6 Lifes RewardBejarano R · Hartman Chris A 6%win est.
Why Dontworryboutnothn: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.
Value play8 Mizzou 15% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures moving forward.
Pace: Southern Whisper shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest. With 3 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.
- 6 Moviestar HandsomeOrtiz J L · Ward Wesley A 23%win est.
- 5 New FundSheehy D · Molloy Thomas 15%win est.
- 10 KelzEsquivel E · McPeek Kenneth G 15%win est.
Why Moviestar Handsome: Pedigree suits the distance.
Value play5 New Fund 15% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Pedigree suits the distance.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Moviestar Handsome may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position. With 3 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.
- 7 ArganBeschizza A · Camejo Jose M 37%win est.
- 2 Jet PackMurrill M · Manley Steve 16%win est.
- 8 Talkin in CursiveTorres J A · Shirer Matt A 16%win est.
Why Argan: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Quickest early horse in a dirt sprint.
Pace: Argan and Talkin in Cursive figure to go after the lead together. A stalker like Jet Pack could be the one to benefit.
- 12 FumedGaffalione T · Delacour Arnaud 28%win est.
- 2 Sweet VentureOrtiz I Jr · Kenneally Eddie 25%win est.
- 1 AmoarayPauly S · Knippenberg Brian 9%win est.
Why Fumed: Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures moving forward.
Value play1 Amoaray 9% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Pedigree suits the distance.
Pace: Pardi Vida and Fumed figure to go after the lead together. A stalker like Sweet Venture could be the one to benefit.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Maddie Josephine, Dagny Taggart, Riding the Pine
- 7 Red SquareOrtiz J L · Ward Wesley A 38%win est.
- 4 Beautiful WarGaffalione T · Fawkes David 18%win est.
- 12 Gypsy ArtOrtiz I Jr · Ward Wesley A 10%win est.
Why Red Square: Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures have risen three straight races.
Value play3 Expressway 9% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Barn does well with sprinters. Returns from a layoff.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Assertiveness may be the one sent to the front.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Pelican Hill, Cinister Cix, Bluegrass Town, Mischievous Richie
- 8 Little NiLoveberry J · Rivelli Larry 31%win est.
- 7 Towner TooTorres J A · Robertson McLean 13%win est.
- 2 TagliatelleTorres C A · Diodoro Robertino 12%win est.
Why Little Ni: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Barn does well with claimers.
Value play7 Towner Too 13% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Barn does well with claimers.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Shadow Coast may be the one sent to the front.
- 2 ComprehensiveCurtis B · Lynch Brian A 18%win est.
- 8 Tend to YouTorres J A · Harty Eoin 14%win est.
- 4 PuteketekeGaffalione T · Maker Michael J 13%win est.
Why Comprehensive: Barn does well with turf runners.
Value play10 Provider 12% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Proven on the surface. Returns from a layoff.
Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Comprehensive may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position. With 3 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.
More picks for Friday, October 16
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