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Keeneland Picks Sat, Oct 24

A top pick and value play for all 10 races at Keeneland on Saturday, October 24, 2026, plus the Best Bet of the card, from the TracksideProfits handicapping software.

Today’s Picks › Keeneland Picks › Sat, Oct 24

Races
10
Surfaces
8 Dirt · 2 Turf
First post
1:00local time
Feature · Race 6
Bowman Mill Stakes
Best Bet · Race 2
5Majestical
Has run the fastest numbers of anyone entered
Value play · Race 1
6Pampered
Overlooked at long odds last time out
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Race-by-race picks

Race1 Md 200001 mile · Dirt · Post 1:00 · 8 starters
  1. 7Top pickMain MischiefMorales E · McCarthy Michael W

Why Main Mischief: Last start was a clear jump forward for her. Finished 2nd in her last start, a nose behind the winner. By Maximus Mischief, and bred to handle the longer trip.

Value play6 Pampered
The public let her go at 29-1 last out, and the ratings say that was a mistake. Owns the best recent speed figures in the field. Down in price, from $50,000 to $20,000.

Race2 Clm 80000N2L1 1/16 miles · Dirt · Post 1:32 · 6 starters Best Bet
  1. 5Top pickMajesticalSaez L · Eurton Peter

Why Majestical: Has run the fastest numbers of anyone entered. Took a big step forward last time. Finished 3rd in her last start, 5 lengths behind the winner.

Value play2 Lolo Le Plume
Dismissed at 16-1 in her last start, but fits this field. Has run well at 1 1/16 miles before.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race3 Md Sp Wt 110k1 1/16 miles · Dirt · Post 2:04 · 8 starters
  1. 7Top pickCommitment FundGaffalione T · Brown Chad C

Why Commitment Fund: Has run faster lately than anything else in here, and it isn't close. Last start was a clear jump forward for him. Ran 2nd last out, beaten a nose.

Value play2 Mr. Tapps
Dismissed at 17-1 in his last start, but fits this field. Ran 3rd last out, beaten 1 lengths. By American Pharoah, and bred to handle the longer trip.

Race4 Alw 120000N1X1 1/16 miles · Turf · Post 2:36 · 12 starters
  1. 12Top pickSneakilyOrtiz I Jr · Cox Brad H

Why Sneakily: Tops this field on recent speed. Coming off the best race of the current form cycle. Ran 2nd last out, beaten 1½ lengths.

Value play5 Jalila
Went off at 9-1 last time but rates as a real contender here. Just ran a sharply improved race. Ran 2nd last out, beaten a length.

Race5 Md 1000006 furlongs · Dirt · Post 3:08 · 11 starters
  1. 10Top pickBy La RinaConcepcion A · Tomlinson Michael A

Why By La Rina: Owns the best recent speed figures in the field. Last start was a clear jump forward for her. Finished 2nd in her last start, a neck behind the winner.

Value play5 Fleeting Moon
Dismissed at 10-1 in her last start, but fits this field. Took a big step forward last time. Gets a softer spot after running against maiden special weight company.

Race6 Bowman Mill Stakes6 furlongs · Dirt · Post 3:40 · 5 starters
  1. 5Top pickBookedOrtiz J L · Asmussen Steven M

Why Booked: Narrowly the fastest on recent figures. Quickest from the gate in a dirt sprint that tends to favor speed. Ran 3rd last out, beaten 5 lengths.

Race7 Md Sp Wt 110k5 ½ furlongs · Dirt · Post 4:12 · 12 starters
  1. 4Top pickLight HaloOrtiz I Jr · Cox Brad H

Why Light Halo: Right there on speed with the top runners. Was only 3½ lengths from winning last time. Brad Cox gets good results with second-time starters.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Confidence, Quartz Mountain, Cosmic Creed, Bit Tipsy

Race8 Hagyard Fayette Stakes (Grade 3)1 1/8 miles · Dirt · Post 4:44 · 12 starters
  1. 9Top pickTumbarumbaGaffalione T · Lynch Brian A

Why Tumbarumba: Holds a big edge on recent speed over this group. Steps down in class off a stakes. Bullet work on Sep 27, best of 104 at the distance.

Value play8 Stars and Stripes
The public let him go at 16-1 last out, and the ratings say that was a mistake. Three straight races of improvement. Was only 3 lengths from winning last time.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: So Sandy

Race9 Bryan Station Stakes (Grade 2)1 mile · Turf · Post 5:16 · 12 starters
  1. 4Top pickBottasGaffalione T · Clement Miguel

Why Bottas: Trending the right way, with each of his last three better than the one before. Comes in off a win. Finds a softer field today.

Value play6 Conducted
The public let him go at 10-1 last out, and the ratings say that was a mistake. Three straight races of improvement. Was only 1 lengths from winning last time.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Banksy's, Gramp's Legacy, No Joke Joe, Royal Causeway

Race10 OC 125k/N2X1 1/8 miles · Dirt · Post 5:48 · 10 starters
  1. 1Top pickSassmasterVelazquez J R · Pletcher Todd A

Why Sassmaster: Has run the fastest numbers of anyone entered. Last start was a clear jump forward for him. Was only 2 lengths from winning last time.

Last time at Keeneland

On Sunday, October 11, 2026, our top picks went 1 for 3 in the races graded so far. See that card.

  • Race 1: Indy Charges On won. Our pick Pike Place 2nd.
  • Race 3: Wits and Wagers won. Our pick Wits and Wagers won.
  • Race 5: Free Advice won. Our pick Golden Channel was unplaced.

More picks for Saturday, October 24

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Full-card Blueprint · Keeneland · Saturday, Oct 31

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Picks are made before scratches and late changes. If a selection scratches, move to the next pick. Post times are local track time. Win estimates are the software's, not guarantees. Results recaps fill in as official finishes appear in our data.

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Updated Oct 22, 2026