Santa Anita Picks Sun, Oct 18

1. 8 Velvet ReignJaramillo E · O'Neill Doug 24%win est.
2. 6 ZurayaRispoli U · McCarthy Michael W 18%win est.
3. 7 TokalaVan Dyke D · Hanson Ryan 17%win est.

Why Velvet Reign: Among the fastest on recent figures. Barn does well with maiden claimers.

Value play7 Tokala 17% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Pedigree suits the distance.

Pace: Velvet Reign and Tokala figure to go after the lead together. A stalker like Zuraya could be the one to benefit. With 2 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: I'm Lovestruck

1. 3 Queen BayBerrios Hector I · Callaghan Simon 30%win est.
2. 4 My Girl MiaJaramillo E · O'Neill Doug 25%win est.
3. 6 DrulinerHernandez J J · Lewis Craig A 14%win est.

Why Queen Bay: Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures have risen three straight races.

Value play2 Kintrigue 13% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Takes a drop in class.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so My Girl Mia may be the one sent to the front.

1. 1 SupernalAyuso A · Ellis Ronald W 25%win est.
2. 6 Got'm Cot'mPereira T J · Brinkerhoff Val 23%win est.
3. 3 Mr. MachupicchuOrantes W R · Knapp Steve 18%win est.

Why Supernal: Figures moving forward. Barn does well with dirt runners.

Pace: Plenty of early speed with Piper's Causeway, Mr. Machupicchu and Supernal, so the pace should be contested. That sets up for a closer such as Got'm Cot'm.

1. 9 Regal PatriotJaramillo E · O'Neill Doug 25%win est.
2. 2 Code DuelloKimura K · Uranga Jesus J 14%win est.
3. 10 Known IdeaHernandez J J · Papaprodromou George 13%win est.

Why Regal Patriot: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Value play8 Double Jab 9% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Takes a drop in class. Returns from a layoff.

Pace: Plenty of early speed with Jetovator, Regal Patriot and Double Jab, so the pace should be contested. That sets up for a closer such as Phosphorescence.

1. 2 Zuzu's Classic GalLezcano A · Glatt Mark 32%win est.
2. 3 VolcanologistGonzalez R · Mathis Andy 21%win est.
3. 5 Genuine GraceRosario J · Saavedra Anthony K 20%win est.

Why Zuzu's Classic Gal: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Quickest early horse in a dirt sprint.

Value play4 Anya 12% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Takes a drop in class.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Zuzu's Classic Gal may be the one sent to the front.

1. 7 Divisible ByRosario J · Drysdale Neil 23%win est.
2. 2 Sand BaggerBaze T C · McCarthy Sean 22%win est.
3. 5 RostovskyHernandez J J · Glatt Mark 18%win est.

Why Divisible By: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Value play4 Stamp My Passport 12% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Proven on the surface.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so News At Ten may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.

1. 5 Danzing FlyerHernandez J J · Williams Sean 37%win est.
2. 7 Scary Fast RideBaze T C · Mathis Andy 24%win est.
3. 4 Lady MendelssohnJaramillo E · Gaines Carla 14%win est.

Why Danzing Flyer: Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Stay in Line shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

1. 8 Tiger LuckRosario J · Yakteen Tim 19%win est.
2. 6 Main ImpactEscobedo A · Hanson Ryan 16%win est.
3. 10 Endless SmokeValdivia J Jr · Alvarez Edwin G 15%win est.

Why Tiger Luck: Among the fastest on recent figures. Pedigree suits the distance.

Value play6 Main Impact 16% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Pedigree suits the distance.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Happy Heatwave may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position. With 3 first-time starters or runners without recent figures, treat this race with extra caution.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Thirsty Eterna, Bel Air Blintzcess