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Belmont Park Picks Sun, Oct 18

A top pick and value play for all 8 races at Belmont Park on Sunday, October 18, 2026, plus the Best Bet of the card, from the TracksideProfits handicapping software.

Today’s Picks › Belmont Park Picks › Sun, Oct 18

Races
8
Surfaces
5 Turf · 3 Dirt
First post
1:10local time
Top purse · Race 2
OC 45k/N2X
Best Bet · Race 3
2Arabian Power
Clearly the fastest horse in the field on recent figures
Value play · Race 2
2Dear Chairman
Overlooked at long odds last time out
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Race-by-race picks

Race1 Md Sp Wt 100k1 5/16 miles · Turf · Post 1:10 · 6 starters
  1. 2Top pickStand the RainFranco M · Clement Miguel

Why Stand the Rain: Right there on speed with the top runners. Steps down in class off a maiden special weight. Closer than it looks last out, beaten just 1½ lengths in 5th.

Value play3 Sister Jean
Went off at 12-1 last time but rates as a real contender here. Trending the right way, with each of her last three better than the one before. Ran 2nd last out, beaten a nose.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race2 OC 45k/N2X1 mile · Dirt · Post 1:43 · 6 starters
  1. 6Top pickBerning BeautyDavis K · Baker Charlton

Why Berning Beauty: Just ran a sharply improved race. Ran 2nd last out, beaten 2 lengths. The Charlton Baker barn does well with allowance runners.

Value play2 Dear Chairman
Dismissed at 20-1 in his last start, but fits this field. On the upswing, getting better every time out. Broke through with a win in his last start.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race3 Md 550006 furlongs · Inner Turf · Post 2:16 · 7 starters Best Bet
  1. 2Top pickArabian PowerFranco M · Cox Brad H

Why Arabian Power: Clearly the fastest horse in the field on recent figures. Took a big step forward last time. Was only a nose from winning last time.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race4 Md Sp Wt 100k1 mile · Dirt · Post 2:49 · 6 starters
  1. 2Top pickHeirsutaPrat F · Brown Chad C

Why Heirsuta: Has run faster lately than anything else in here, and it isn't close. Was only 1½ lengths from winning last time. Chad Brown gets good results with second-time starters.

Value play4 Burrata
The public let her go at 14-1 last out, and the ratings say that was a mistake. Last start was a clear jump forward for her. Finds a softer field today.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race5 Alw 50000s1 1/16 miles · Turf · Post 3:23 · 9 starters
  1. 5Top pickBryant and CooperFranco M · Brown Chad C

Why Bryant and Cooper: Holds a small speed edge in a bunched-up field. Finished 2nd in her last start, a nose behind the winner. Owns 2 wins on turf.

Value play4 Starlight Dancer
Dismissed at 9-1 in her last start, but fits this field. Finished 3rd in her last start, a neck behind the winner. Right there on speed with the top runners.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race6 Md Sp Wt 100k6 ½ furlongs · Inner Turf · Post 3:57 · 11 starters
  1. 1Top pickAnnotateSantana R Jr · Asmussen Steven M

Why Annotate: Holds a big edge on recent speed over this group. The lone front-runner in the field, and a candidate to wire them. Ran 2nd last out, beaten a head.

Value play11 Kinboshi
Dismissed at 10-1 in her last start, but fits this field. Ran 3rd last out, beaten a neck. By Honest Mischief, and bred to handle the sprint.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race7 Clm 35000B6 furlongs · Dirt · Post 4:31 · 9 starters
  1. 3Top pickRed StateFranco M · Cox Brad H

Why Red State: Tops this field on recent speed. Quickest from the gate in a dirt sprint that tends to favor speed. Finished 2nd in his last start, a neck behind the winner.

Value play8 Seeker's Hope
The public let him go at 13-1 last out, and the ratings say that was a mistake. Drops from a $55,000 claimer to $35,000. Posted the fastest of 38 works at 4 furlongs on Oct 11.

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Race8 Md Sp Wt 100k1 mile · Turf · Post 5:05 · 12 starters
  1. 12Top pickRaise the RoofMarin S · De Paz Horacio

Why Raise the Roof: Coming off the best race of the current form cycle. Finished 2nd in his last start, 1½ lengths behind the winner. The Horacio De Paz barn does well with turf runners.

Value play1 Katz in the Cradle
Dismissed at 48-1 in his last start, but fits this field. Last start was a clear jump forward for him. Chad Summers gets good results with two-year-olds.

Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Captain G

Trackside Edge: full top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for this race. Unlock

Last time at Belmont Park

On Sunday, October 11, 2026, our top picks went 1 for 4 in the races graded so far. See that card.

  • Race 4: Lisa Joy won. Our pick Kiamba was unplaced.
  • Race 6: Mike's Magic won. Our pick Bakuto was unplaced.
  • Race 7: Our Preferred Pal won. Our pick Credit Risk was unplaced.
  • Race 9: Perretti won. Our pick Perretti won.

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Full-card Blueprint · Keeneland · Saturday, Oct 31

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Picks are made before scratches and late changes. If a selection scratches, move to the next pick. Post times are local track time. Win estimates are the software's, not guarantees. Results recaps fill in as official finishes appear in our data.

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Updated Oct 18, 2026