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Belmont Park Picks Sat, Oct 17

Free picks for all 11 races at Belmont Park on Saturday, October 17, 2026, generated by the TracksideProfits handicapping software.

Today’s Picks › Belmont Park Picks › Sat, Oct 17

Races
11
Surfaces
6 Dirt · 5 Turf
First post
12:05local time
Top purse · Race 2
Alw 55000s
Best Bet · Race 1
6Commuted
81% win est.
Value play · Race 6
5Will Not Be Swayed
27% win est.

Race-by-race picks

Race1 Alw 32000s6 furlongs · Dirt · Post 12:05 · 6 starters Best BetHigh
  1. 6 CommutedSantana R Jr · Rice Linda 81%win est.
  2. 3 BreslauDavis D · Miceli Michael 5%win est.
  3. 2 Run ClassicZayas E J · Potts Wayne 4%win est.

Why Commuted: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Plenty of early speed with Breslau, Cool Andy and Kunshan Bridge, so the pace should be contested.

Race2 Alw 55000s6 furlongs · Inner Turf · Post 12:38 · 6 starters High
  1. 4 Gift of GabFranco M · Stettinius Suzanne 59%win est.
  2. 1 Delightful FlameDavis K · Duggan David P 16%win est.
  3. 3 River SeineFresu A · Nevin Michelle 14%win est.

Why Gift of Gab: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Value play1 Delightful Flame 16% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Among the fastest on recent figures. Takes a drop in class.

Pace: River Seine shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

Race3 Alw 32000s1 1/4 miles · Dirt · Post 1:11 · 6 starters Medium
  1. 3 Missouri RiverOcasio L M · Pino Michael V 39%win est.
  2. 5 Le GrisFranco M · Rice Linda 30%win est.
  3. 4 Sharp SparkGonzalez S · Kantarmaci Ilkay 13%win est.

Why Missouri River: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Le Gris shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

Race4 Alw 55000s1 1/16 miles · Turf · Post 1:44 · 8 starters Medium
  1. 5 Lady FirefootZayas E J · Schauer Steven I 35%win est.
  2. 6 Seat At the TableSantana R Jr · Rodriguez Gustavo 22%win est.
  3. 8 Planet ClareFresu A · Brion Keri 17%win est.

Why Lady Firefoot: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward.

Value play8 Planet Clare 17% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Save Us Melania shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.

Race5 Alw 55000s6 furlongs · Inner Turf · Post 2:17 · 8 starters Low
  1. 5 Mission ImprobableZayas E J · Brisset Rodolphe 23%win est.
  2. 4 Bite and StrikeLezcano J · Rice Linda 21%win est.
  3. 7 Shape NoteFranco M · Maker Michael J 21%win est.

Why Mission Improbable: Among the fastest on recent figures. Takes a drop in class.

Value play8 Global Prosperity 10% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures have risen three straight races. Barn does well with sprinters.

Pace: Shape Note shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

Race6 Alw 32000s6 ½ furlongs · Dirt · Post 2:50 · 8 starters Medium
  1. 1 Meg's Foxy GreyFresu A · Nevin Michelle 31%win est.
  2. 5 Will Not Be SwayedSantana R Jr · Shivmangal Lolita 27%win est.
  3. 7 City BlocksFranco M · Rice Linda 14%win est.

Why Meg's Foxy Grey: Among the fastest on recent figures. Figures moving forward.

Value play5 Will Not Be Swayed 27% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: City Blocks and Mascara figure to go after the lead together. A stalker like Will Not Be Swayed could be the one to benefit.

Race7 Alw 55000s1 1/2 miles · Turf · Post 3:23 · 7 starters Medium
  1. 1 Carc BrothersFranco M · Atras Rob 32%win est.
  2. 7 InterceptorSantana R Jr · Maker Michael J 23%win est.
  3. 6 Write Off JerryDavis D · Ness Jamie 14%win est.

Why Carc Brothers: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Barn does well with last-out winners. Returns from a layoff.

Value play6 Write Off Jerry 14% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Barn does well with route runners.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Interceptor may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.

Race8 Alw 20000s1 mile · Dirt · Post 3:56 · 9 starters Low
  1. 3 SnideLezcano J · Rice Linda 26%win est.
  2. 9 BeiraFresu A · Dutrow Richard E Jr 16%win est.
  3. 5 Despo's DreamFranco M · Rodriguez Rudy R 15%win est.

Why Snide: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward. Returns from a layoff.

Value play1 Brunch With Amy 12% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Figures have risen three straight races.

Pace: Plenty of early speed with Furry Fox, Snide and Bourbon Serengeti, so the pace should be contested. That sets up for a closer such as Lika Rolling Stone.

Race9 Alw 55000s1 mile · Dirt · Post 4:29 · 8 starters Medium
  1. 1 Georgia MagicFranco M · Schauer Steven I 37%win est.
  2. 4 Magnanimous MaxLezcano J · Rice Linda 23%win est.
  3. 8 KineticMarin S · Kantarmaci Ilkay 14%win est.

Why Georgia Magic: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Top-percentage trainer and jockey.

Value play8 Kinetic 14% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Proven on the surface.

Pace: Georgia Magic shows the most early speed, but others can keep it honest.

Race10 Alw 55000s1 1/16 miles · Turf · Post 5:02 · 9 starters Low
  1. 4 HammerheadFresu A · Kantarmaci Mertkan 20%win est.
  2. 1 Highlands WayFranco M · Pletcher Todd A 16%win est.
  3. 3 ParosCarmouche K · Rodriguez Gustavo 14%win est.

Why Hammerhead: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Figures moving forward.

Value play3 Paros 14% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures have risen three straight races. Takes a drop in class.

Pace: No confirmed front-runner here, so Urgency may be the one sent to the front. On turf at this distance, late kick usually matters more than early position.

Race11 Alw 16000s7 furlongs · Dirt · Post 5:35 · 10 starters Medium
  1. 4 Secured LandingCarmouche K · Rice Linda 39%win est.
  2. 6 Tapwrits TemperFranco M · Dutrow Richard E Jr 15%win est.
  3. 5 PrincipCastellano J J · Kantarmaci Mertkan 14%win est.

Why Secured Landing: Fastest recent speed figures in the field. Quickest early horse in a dirt sprint.

Value play6 Tapwrits Temper 15% win est.
Went off at long odds last time out but rates as a real contender here. Figures moving forward. Proven on the surface.

Pace: Secured Landing and Pineapple Man figure to go after the lead together. A stalker like Tapwrits Temper could be the one to benefit.

Last time at Belmont Park

On Sunday, October 11, 2026, our top picks went 0 for 1 in the races graded so far. See that card.

  • Race 4: Lisa Joy won. Our pick Kiamba was unplaced.

More picks for Saturday, October 17

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Picks are made before scratches and late changes. If a selection scratches, move to the next pick. Post times are local track time. Win estimates are the software's, not guarantees. Results recaps fill in as official finishes appear in our data.

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Updated Oct 14, 2026