Today’s Picks › Penn National Picks › Wed, Nov 4
- Races
- 7
- Surfaces
- 7 Dirt
- First post
- 5:45local time
- Top purse · Race 7
- Soc 25000C
- Best Bet · Race 1
- 4Amelia Adams Quickest from the gate in a dirt sprint that tends to favor speed
- Value play · Race 2
- 5Keep It Safe Bet at 8-1 or higher
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Penn National picks, race by race
- 4Top pickAmelia AdamsChiappe R · Kravets Bruce M
Why Amelia Adams: Quickest from the gate in a dirt sprint that tends to favor speed. Finished 3rd in her last start, 5 lengths behind the winner. Right there on speed with the top runners.
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- 4Top pickTortuga IslandRamos J · Rodriguez Jose S
Why Tortuga Island: Coming off the best race of the current form cycle. Ran 2nd last out, beaten 1 lengths. Proven at this kind of distance.
Value play5 Keep It Safe Bet at 8-1 or higher
Rates as a live contender but projects as an overlooked price. Has run well at 1 1/16 miles before.
- 2Top pickWilliston WizardRodriguez A R · Allard Edward T
Why Williston Wizard: Owns the best recent speed figures in the field. On the upswing, getting better every time out. Down in price, from $25,000 to $16,000.
- 3Top pickEllie's BoyfriendCorujo W · Beattie Cody
Why Ellie's Boyfriend: Has the most early speed in a short dirt race. Likes Penn National, with 2 wins here. Cody Beattie gets good results with dirt runners.
- 6Top pickMysonsgoinproCorujo L · Martinez Joseph A
Why Mysonsgoinpro: Can use her gate speed to get first run in this sprint.
- 1Top pickAquitania ArrivalBurgos J L · Kreiser Timothy C
Why Aquitania Arrival: Can use his gate speed to get first run in this sprint. Trainer Timothy Kreiser has a strong record with dirt runners. Has run well at 6 furlongs before.
- 6Top pickWink of an EyeRodriguez A R · Perez Elisha
Why Wink of an Eye: Comes in off a win. Has won 2 times over this track. Turned in a bullet on Oct 21.
Value play7 My Sugar Boo Bet at 12-1 or higher
Should be a bigger price than this horse's chances deserve. Won last time out in a claimer. Last start was a clear jump forward for her.
More picks for Wednesday, November 4
Penn National picks archive
Penn National picks FAQ
Are these Penn National picks free?
Yes. Every Penn National card gets a free top pick for every race, a value play with the minimum odds worth taking, and the Best Bet of the day. Trackside Edge members also get the top three in every race with win estimates, pace notes, confidence ratings and multi-race tickets.
When are Penn National picks posted?
Our Penn National picks go up before the card, once entries are out, usually a day or more ahead. This page always shows the current or next Penn National card, and every past card stays in the archive below.
How are the Penn National picks made?
Every horse is rated by the TracksideProfits handicapping model: speed figures, current form and the likely pace first, then trainer and jockey, distance and surface fit and pedigree, then class, layoffs and workouts.
What does "Bet at 6-1 or higher" mean on a value play?
It is the lowest price at which the value play is worth a bet based on our win estimate. If the horse is shorter than that at post time, the value is gone.
What if one of the picks scratches?
Move to the next pick in that race. Picks are made before scratches and late changes, so always check the final field before you bet.
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Updated Nov 01, 2026