Today’s Picks › Penn National Picks › Thu, Nov 5
- Races
- 7
- Surfaces
- 7 Dirt
- First post
- 5:45local time
- Top purse · Race 1
- Alw 41000N1R
- Best Bet · Race 1
- 2Our Notion Has run faster lately than anything else in here, and it isn't close
- Value play · Race 4
- 5Tarsus Warrior Bet at 9-2 or higher
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Penn National picks, race by race
- 2Top pickOur NotionChuan M · Ness Jamie
Why Our Notion: Has run faster lately than anything else in here, and it isn't close. Coming off the best race of the current form cycle. Finds a softer field today.
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- 3Top pickShe's a BombshellRabadan S · Rabadan Chelsea S
Why She's a Bombshell: Fits on speed with the best of this group. Ran 3rd last out, beaten 4½ lengths. Has run well at 6 furlongs before.
- 7Top pickQueen Ofthe CosmosBeato I · McClellan Erin C
Why Queen Ofthe Cosmos: Just ran a sharply improved race. Takes the class drop into maiden claiming company. Bullet work on Oct 6, best of 13 at the distance.
Value play5 Sassy Sangria Bet at 10-1 or higher
The kind of contender the betting tends to underrate. Finished 3rd in her last start, 6 lengths behind the winner. Has run well at 6 furlongs before.
- 4Top pickBallad of WarriorRodriguez A R · Kulp Brandon L
Why Ballad of Warrior: Steps down in class off a stakes. A 2-time winner at Penn National. Trainer Brandon Kulp has a strong record with horses coming off long layoffs.
Value play5 Tarsus Warrior Bet at 9-2 or higher
Rates as a live contender but projects as an overlooked price. Was only 1 lengths from winning last time. Rarely runs a bad one: top three in 5 of 6 lately.
- 4Top pickKelly's Into LuckRodriguez A R · Kulp Brandon L
Why Kelly's Into Luck: Ran 2nd last out, beaten a neck. The Brandon Kulp barn does well with claimers. Has run well at 6 furlongs before.
- 6Top pickWhen We Do We DoCora D · Duarte Jorge Jr
Why When We Do We Do: Nobody else in the field has run as fast as him lately. Can use his gate speed to get first run in this sprint. Gets a softer spot after running against maiden special weight company.
- 8Top pickHay ChiefRodriguez A R · Kulp Brandon L
Why Hay Chief: Tops this field on recent speed. Posted the fastest of 25 works at 4 furlongs on Oct 9. Trainer Brandon Kulp has a strong record with claimers.
More picks for Thursday, November 5
Penn National picks archive
Penn National picks FAQ
Are these Penn National picks free?
Yes. Every Penn National card gets a free top pick for every race, a value play with the minimum odds worth taking, and the Best Bet of the day. Trackside Edge members also get the top three in every race with win estimates, pace notes, confidence ratings and multi-race tickets.
When are Penn National picks posted?
Our Penn National picks go up before the card, once entries are out, usually a day or more ahead. This page always shows the current or next Penn National card, and every past card stays in the archive below.
How are the Penn National picks made?
Every horse is rated by the TracksideProfits handicapping model: speed figures, current form and the likely pace first, then trainer and jockey, distance and surface fit and pedigree, then class, layoffs and workouts.
What does "Bet at 6-1 or higher" mean on a value play?
It is the lowest price at which the value play is worth a bet based on our win estimate. If the horse is shorter than that at post time, the value is gone.
What if one of the picks scratches?
Move to the next pick in that race. Picks are made before scratches and late changes, so always check the final field before you bet.
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Updated Nov 01, 2026