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Mahoning Valley Picks Thu, Nov 5

A top pick for all 8 races at Mahoning Valley on Thursday, November 5, 2026, plus value plays with the minimum odds worth taking and the Best Bet of the card, from the TracksideProfits handicapping model.

Today’s Picks › Mahoning Valley Picks › Thu, Nov 5

Races
8
Surfaces
8 Dirt
First post
12:15local time
Top purse · Race 7
Alw 35100N3L
Best Bet · Race 5
3Holiday Coal
Clearly the fastest horse in the field on recent figures
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Mahoning Valley picks, race by race

Race1 Clm 50005 ½ furlongs · Dirt · Post 12:15 · 6 starters
  1. 3Top pickBumpkinChavez A · Meyers Shane

Why Bumpkin: Holds a big edge on recent speed over this group. Three straight races of improvement. Has the most early speed in a short dirt race.

Race2 Clm 7500N2L1 mile · Dirt · Post 12:43 · 6 starters
  1. 5Top pickShe's ChloeStokes J · Smith Larry E

Why She's Chloe: Nobody else in the field has run as fast as her lately. Ran 2nd last out, beaten 2 lengths. Proven at this kind of distance.

Race3 Clm 150006 furlongs · Dirt · Post 1:11 · 6 starters
  1. 3Top pickBah HumbugBarbaran E · Radosevich Jeffrey A

Why Bah Humbug: Tactical type who can stalk the leaders. Rarely runs a bad one: top three in 5 of 6 lately. Finds a softer field today.

Race4 Clm 5000N3L1 mile · Dirt · Post 1:39 · 7 starters
  1. 1Top pickCharlieslitldevilKeiser C · Pappada Julie A

Why Charlieslitldevil: Trending the right way, with each of his last three better than the one before. The Julie Pappada barn does well with horses in their first start for the barn. Has run well at a mile before.

Race5 Md Sp Wt 31k1 mile · Dirt · Post 2:07 · 9 starters Best Bet
  1. 3Top pickHoliday CoalDiaz A I · Faulkner Rodney C

Why Holiday Coal: Clearly the fastest horse in the field on recent figures. Last start was a clear jump forward for her. Was only 1½ lengths from winning last time.

Full card: the top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for every race here and at every other track. It covers the day you buy it and the next, so grab it on race day. Race Day Pass $10

Race6 Clm 10000N2L6 furlongs · Dirt · Post 2:35 · 8 starters
  1. 8Top pickLordbetwentothornsBracho J A · Radosevich Justin

Why Lordbetwentothorns: Brings the best recent figures into the race. Can use his gate speed to get first run in this sprint. Has hit the board in 5 of his last 6 starts.

Race7 Alw 35100N3L1 mile · Dirt · Post 3:03 · 7 starters
  1. 4Top pickPride and AttitudeFeliciano R · Poole Joe M

Why Pride and Attitude: Right there on speed with the top runners. Finished 2nd in her last start, 1 lengths behind the winner. Has run well at a mile before.

Race8 Alw 25900N1X6 furlongs · Dirt · Post 3:31 · 9 starters
  1. 5Top pickCorfu FightingKeiser C · Fadlovich Megan

Why Corfu Fighting: Has the most early speed in a short dirt race. Steps down in class off a allowance. Trainer Megan Fadlovich has a strong record with dirt runners.

More picks for Thursday, November 5

Mahoning Valley picks archive

Mahoning Valley picks FAQ

Are these Mahoning Valley picks free?

Yes. Every Mahoning Valley card gets a free top pick for every race, a value play with the minimum odds worth taking, and the Best Bet of the day. Trackside Edge members also get the top three in every race with win estimates, pace notes, confidence ratings and multi-race tickets.

When are Mahoning Valley picks posted?

Our Mahoning Valley picks go up before the card, once entries are out, usually a day or more ahead. This page always shows the current or next Mahoning Valley card, and every past card stays in the archive below.

How are the Mahoning Valley picks made?

Every horse is rated by the TracksideProfits handicapping model: speed figures, current form and the likely pace first, then trainer and jockey, distance and surface fit and pedigree, then class, layoffs and workouts.

What does "Bet at 6-1 or higher" mean on a value play?

It is the lowest price at which the value play is worth a bet based on our win estimate. If the horse is shorter than that at post time, the value is gone.

What if one of the picks scratches?

Move to the next pick in that race. Picks are made before scratches and late changes, so always check the final field before you bet.

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Picks are made before scratches and late changes. If a selection scratches, move to the next pick. Post times are local track time. Win estimates are the software's, not guarantees.

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Updated Nov 01, 2026