Today’s Picks › Belmont Park Picks › Thu, Oct 29
- Races
- 8
- Surfaces
- 5 Turf · 3 Dirt
- First post
- 1:10local time
- Top purse · Race 2
- Alw 105000N1X
- Best Bet · Race 5
- 3Bounce Back Brings the best recent figures into the race
- Value play · Race 8
- 5Nystateofmind Bet at 4-1 or higher
2 hand-picked plays every week, free
Two highly selective plays every week with full analysis, in your inbox every Friday, plus free cheat sheets for every major race day. Every pick tracked publicly.
Want the full card for every race? Get today’s full cards at every track with a Race Day Pass ($10, one-time), or every day with Trackside Edge.
Belmont Park picks, race by race
- 6Top pickD C Boy'sSantana R Jr · Maker Michael J
Why D C Boy's: Tactical type who can stalk the leaders. Drops from a $50,000 claimer to $35,000. Proven at this kind of distance.
- 4Top pickCrescendo's ReinCarmouche K · Baker Charlton
Why Crescendo's Rein: Took a big step forward last time. Finished 3rd in his last start, a neck behind the winner. Has hit the board in 5 of his last 6 starts.
Value play3 Calvin's Ride Bet at 6-1 or higher
Rates as a live contender but projects as an overlooked price. Broke through with a win in his last start. Kevin Rice gets good results with last-out winners.
- 1Top pickQuick to AccuseSantana R Jr · Abreu Fernando
Why Quick to Accuse: Has a slight edge on speed in a tightly matched field. Down in price, from $45,000 to $35,000. Has run well at 1 1/16 miles before.
Value play4 Chief Liam Bet at 9-2 or higher
The kind of contender the betting tends to underrate. Drops from a $45,000 claimer to $35,000. Bullet work on Oct 8, best of 57 at the distance.
- 11Top pickEmpress New GrooveLopez P · Joseph Saffie A Jr
Why Empress New Groove: Tops this field on recent speed. Coming off the best race of the current form cycle. Was only 2 lengths from winning last time.
Value play3 Oath Bet at 15-1 or higher
Should be a bigger price than this horse's chances deserve. The Linda Rice barn does well with sprinters. Returns from about 7 months off.
- 3Top pickBounce BackFresu A · Casse Mark
Why Bounce Back: Brings the best recent figures into the race. Finished 2nd in her last start, 4½ lengths behind the winner. Gets an easier spot than last time.
Full card: the top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for every race here and at every other track today. Race Day Pass $10
- 9Top pickDry DrasticCarmouche K · Rodriguez Gustavo
Why Dry Drastic: Holds a big edge on recent speed over this group. Last start was a clear jump forward for her. Ran 3rd last out, beaten 9½ lengths.
Value play3 Underwood Bet at 5-1 or higher
Went off at 97-1 last time but rates as a real contender here. Gets a softer spot after running against maiden special weight company. Only one horse in here has run faster lately.
- 3Top pickGrungeFranco M · Clement Miguel
Why Grunge: Tactical type who can stalk the leaders. Ran 2nd last out, beaten 2 lengths. Has run well at 5½ furlongs before.
- 9Top pickJordan the CaddyFranco M · Rice Linda
Why Jordan the Caddy: Only one horse in here has run faster lately. Trainer Linda Rice has a strong record with sprinters stretching out. By Charlatan, and bred to handle the longer trip.
Value play5 Nystateofmind Bet at 4-1 or higher
Dismissed at 11-1 in his last start, but fits this field. Tops this field on recent speed. Ran 3rd last out, beaten 2½ lengths.
More picks for Thursday, October 29
Belmont Park picks archive
Belmont Park picks FAQ
Are these Belmont Park picks free?
Yes. Every Belmont Park card gets a free top pick for every race, a value play with the minimum odds worth taking, and the Best Bet of the day. Trackside Edge members also get the top three in every race with win estimates, pace notes, confidence ratings and multi-race tickets.
When are Belmont Park picks posted?
Our Belmont Park picks go up before the card, once entries are out, usually a day or more ahead. This page always shows the current or next Belmont Park card, and every past card stays in the archive below.
How are the Belmont Park picks made?
Every horse is rated by the TracksideProfits handicapping model: speed figures, current form and the likely pace first, then trainer and jockey, distance and surface fit and pedigree, then class, layoffs and workouts.
What does "Bet at 6-1 or higher" mean on a value play?
It is the lowest price at which the value play is worth a bet based on our win estimate. If the horse is shorter than that at post time, the value is gone.
What if one of the picks scratches?
Move to the next pick in that race. Picks are made before scratches and late changes, so always check the final field before you bet.
Breeders' Cup Blueprint.
40+ hours of research compressed into what matters for every race: pace maps, key stats and angles, track trends and the last meet's biases, and horse-by-horse notes. Then the picks and tickets to attack the day.
$29.99. All 14 races, Friday and Saturday.The Wagering Lab.
Two highly selective plays every week with full analysis, in your inbox every Friday, plus free cheat sheets for every major race day. Every pick tracked publicly.
No credit card. Unsubscribe anytime.Race Day Pass.
The full software card for every race at every track, today and tomorrow: the top three with win estimates, value plays, pace notes and confidence. Perfect for a big Saturday.
$10 one-time. Instant access after checkout.Trackside Edge.
The full software card for every race at every track we cover, every day: top three, win estimates, pace notes and confidence. Plus multi-race tickets, four hand-curated plays every Friday, a Betting Blueprint every month and the member community.
$29.99 per month. Cancel anytime.Picks are made before scratches and late changes. If a selection scratches, move to the next pick. Post times are local track time. Win estimates are the software's, not guarantees.
Must be 21+ to wager.
Updated Oct 28, 2026