Today’s Picks › Churchill Downs Picks › Sat, Nov 7
- Races
- 11
- Surfaces
- 8 Dirt · 3 Turf
- First post
- 1:00local time
- Feature · Race 8
- River City G3
- Best Bet · Race 11
- 4Time in Motion Clearly the fastest horse in the field on recent figures
- Value play · Race 4
- 7Madeline's Promise Bet at 6-1 or higher
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Churchill Downs race previews
Churchill Downs picks, race by race
- 3Top pickValiant HumorSaez L · Sharp Joe
Why Valiant Humor: Fits on speed with the best of this group. Ran 2nd last out, beaten 1½ lengths. Trainer Joe Sharp has a strong record with claimers.
- 1Top pickDiversificationGaffalione T · Brown Chad C
Why Diversification: Drops from maiden special weight into a maiden claimer. Finished 3rd in his last start, 6½ lengths behind the winner. Bullet work on Oct 3, best of 28 at the distance.
- 5Top pickBarksdaleTorres C A · Diodoro Robertino
Why Barksdale: Robertino Diodoro gets good results with dirt runners. Has run well at 6 furlongs before.
- 5Top pickQueen of QueensOrtiz Y Jr · Sharp Joe
Why Queen of Queens: Has run the fastest numbers of anyone entered. Joe Sharp gets good results with claimers. Proven at this kind of distance.
Value play7 Madeline's Promise Bet at 6-1 or higher
Should be a bigger price than this horse's chances deserve. Comes in off a win at 4-1. Took a big step forward last time.
- 2Top pickIllustratingRodriguez W A · Maker Michael J
Why Illustrating: Last start was a clear jump forward for her. Broke through with a win in her last start. Pedigree via Girvin fits today's longer trip.
- 2Top pickPosterBejarano R · Harty Eoin
Why Poster: Coming off the best race of the current form cycle. The Eoin Harty barn does well with turf horses switching to dirt. Has run well at 1 1/16 miles before.
- 1Top pickWedeliaSaez L · Cox Brad H
Why Wedelia: Gets a softer spot after running against maiden special weight company. Brad Cox gets good results with routers cutting back. Comes back fresh after a 2-month break.
- 8Top pickOle Crazy BoneGaffalione T · Maker Michael J
Why Ole Crazy Bone: Sits just off the pace, so he can work out a trip either way. Steps down in class off a stakes. Owns 6 wins on turf.
- 9Top pickGreatest BlazeBejarano R · Hartman Chris A
Why Greatest Blaze: Just ran a sharply improved race. Ran 2nd last out, beaten a neck. Chris Hartman gets good results with horses coming back in 31 to 60 days.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Stellar Queen
- 3Top pickVikingGaffalione T · Fawkes David
Why Viking: Can use his gate speed to get first run in this sprint. Won last time out in a handicap. Bullet work on Oct 17, best of 62 at the distance.
- 4Top pickTime in MotionConcepcion A · Walden William
Why Time in Motion: Clearly the fastest horse in the field on recent figures. Was only a nose from winning last time. The William Walden barn does well with turf runners.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Sweeten the Pot, Col Frank Slade, Platinum Power, Rivelli
Full card: the top three with win estimates, pace notes and confidence for every race here and at every other track. It covers the day you buy it and the next, so grab it on race day. Race Day Pass $10
More picks for Saturday, November 7
Churchill Downs picks archive
Churchill Downs picks FAQ
Are these Churchill Downs picks free?
Yes. Every Churchill Downs card gets a free top pick for every race, a value play with the minimum odds worth taking, and the Best Bet of the day. Trackside Edge members also get the top three in every race with win estimates, pace notes, confidence ratings and multi-race tickets.
When are Churchill Downs picks posted?
Our Churchill Downs picks go up before the card, once entries are out, usually a day or more ahead. This page always shows the current or next Churchill Downs card, and every past card stays in the archive below.
How are the Churchill Downs picks made?
Every horse is rated through the TracksideProfits handicapping process: speed figures, current form and the likely pace first, then trainer and jockey, distance and surface fit and pedigree, then class, layoffs and workouts.
What does "Bet at 6-1 or higher" mean on a value play?
It is the lowest price at which the value play is worth a bet based on our win estimate. If the horse is shorter than that at post time, the value is gone.
What if one of the picks scratches?
Move to the next pick in that race. Picks are made before scratches and late changes, so always check the final field before you bet.
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Updated Nov 06, 2026