Today’s Picks › Churchill Downs Picks › Sun, Nov 8
- Races
- 10
- Surfaces
- 7 Dirt · 3 Turf
- First post
- 1:00local time
- Top purse · Race 4
- OC 125k/N2X
- Best Bet · Race 2
- 6Bourbon Notes Owns the best recent speed figures in the field
- Value play · Race 10
- 5Shelley B Bet at 8-1 or higher
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Churchill Downs race previews
Churchill Downs picks, race by race
- 5Top pickPrairie PrincessGaffalione T · Brown Chad C
Why Prairie Princess: Clearly the fastest horse in the field on recent figures. Coming off the best race of the current form cycle. Drops from maiden special weight into a maiden claimer.
- 6Top pickBourbon NotesGaffalione T · Maker Michael J
Why Bourbon Notes: Owns the best recent speed figures in the field. The Michael Maker barn does well with claimers. Has run well at 6 furlongs before.
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- 9Top pickAnywhere With YouGaffalione T · Walsh Brendan P
Why Anywhere With You: Saves her run for the stretch, a good fit for a turf route. Finished 2nd in her last start, 1 lengths behind the winner. Turned in a bullet on Oct 28.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Time for a Star, House of Candy, Veles, Free Verse
- 2Top pickCreole ChromeGaffalione T · Sharp Joe
Why Creole Chrome: Second-best recent figures in the field. Ran 2nd last out, beaten a length. The Joe Sharp barn does well with allowance runners.
- 2Top pickSheza Go GetterOrtiz J L · Asmussen Steven M
Why Sheza Go Getter: Brings the best recent figures into the race. Drops from a $150,000 claimer to $20,000.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Avie Mo, Maui Meow, Puzzled, Capability
- 7Top pickMizzouHernandez B J Jr · Radosevich Jake S
Why Mizzou: Has run the fastest numbers of anyone entered. Has the most early speed in a short dirt race. Has run well at 6½ furlongs before.
- 12Top pickCavalliGaffalione T · Walsh Brendan P
Why Cavalli: Closes well, and the early fight up front should come back to him. Won last time out in a maiden special weight. By Flightline, and bred to handle the longer trip.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Hunting Goodwill, Silver Star
- 1Top pickMaginnesontapGaffalione T · Williams Matt
Why Maginnesontap: Just ran a sharply improved race. Comes in off a win. Rarely runs a bad one: top three in 5 of 6 lately.
- 1Top pickSneaky GoodSaez L · Cox Brad H
Why Sneaky Good: Fits on speed with the best of this group. Was only 1½ lengths from winning last time. The Brad Cox barn does well with dirt runners.
- 12Top pickMiddlemistGaffalione T · Walsh Brendan P
Why Middlemist: Only one horse in here has run faster lately. Ran 3rd last out, beaten 2 lengths. Steps down in class off a maiden special weight.
Value play5 Shelley B Bet at 8-1 or higher
Dismissed at 15-1 in her last start, but fits this field. Trainer Kenneth McPeek has a strong record with second-time starters. By War of Will, and bred to handle the longer trip.
Also eligible, runs only if there are scratches: Majestic Marie, Grace Alone, American Destiny, Rosabella Gold
More picks for Sunday, November 8
Churchill Downs picks archive
Churchill Downs picks FAQ
Are these Churchill Downs picks free?
Yes. Every Churchill Downs card gets a free top pick for every race, a value play with the minimum odds worth taking, and the Best Bet of the day. Trackside Edge members also get the top three in every race with win estimates, pace notes, confidence ratings and multi-race tickets.
When are Churchill Downs picks posted?
Our Churchill Downs picks go up before the card, once entries are out, usually a day or more ahead. This page always shows the current or next Churchill Downs card, and every past card stays in the archive below.
How are the Churchill Downs picks made?
Every horse is rated through the TracksideProfits handicapping process: speed figures, current form and the likely pace first, then trainer and jockey, distance and surface fit and pedigree, then class, layoffs and workouts.
What does "Bet at 6-1 or higher" mean on a value play?
It is the lowest price at which the value play is worth a bet based on our win estimate. If the horse is shorter than that at post time, the value is gone.
What if one of the picks scratches?
Move to the next pick in that race. Picks are made before scratches and late changes, so always check the final field before you bet.
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Updated Nov 06, 2026